Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-9
Elche vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ELC
1 - 2
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RSO
2 - 1
ELC
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ELC
1 - 0
SEV
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
3 - 1
ELC
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
VCF
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 0
RSO
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 0
SDL
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |