Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Elche vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
OSA
1 - 1
ELC
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
ELC
0 - 1
VCF
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ELC
0 - 1
OVI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 1
ELC
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
ELC
0 - 2
MAL
48%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
AVI
0 - 0
ALC
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
GET
1 - 0
AVI
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
AVI
2 - 1
RJA
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
MAS
3 - 1
AVI
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
AVI
1 - 1
TOM
63%
24%
14%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |