Elche vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 0
FHV
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 0
ALC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ELC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ELC
1 - 1
MLL
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ELC
2 - 1
CCF
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GIR
4 - 0
PON
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PON
0 - 1
CDT
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
PON
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PON
0 - 1
ALA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
EIB
4 - 0
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |