Elche vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ELC
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ELD
0 - 4
ELC
7%
17%
76%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 3
ELC
7%
17%
76%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ELC
10 - 0
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 2
PON
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
CEL
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 1
PON
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |