Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-2
Elche vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
DEP
0 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 4
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SAB
3 - 3
ELC
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PBL
1 - 0
ORI
58%
27%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 2
PBL
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
PBL
1 - 0
CON
49%
29%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ATB
0 - 0
PBL
56%
26%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
PBL
0 - 0
ALC
43%
33%
24%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |