Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Elche vs Palamós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
ELC
1 - 3
RAY
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1991 |
ELC
2 - 1
MHN
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ELC
1 - 1
SSC
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
MUR
2 - 1
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 2
ELC
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Palamós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
PAL
0 - 1
AVI
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
DEP
3 - 0
PAL
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1990 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
ALC
2 - 0
PAL
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |