Elche vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
PBL
2 - 1
ELC
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 1
GDE
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 3
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
ALM
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 0
DEP
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
1 - 0
OSA
63%
24%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SAB
2 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |