Elche vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
POL
1 - 1
ELC
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
ELC
2 - 2
SEV
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
RJA
0 - 0
ELC
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 1
ELC
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
2 - 0
UTR
59%
25%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
3 - 1
CCF
24%
30%
47%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
5 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |