Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
DEP
1 - 1
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
OVI
0 - 0
ELC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
ELC
2 - 0
CFC
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CAS
2 - 0
ELC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
ELC
1 - 0
FCB
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
HER
3 - 1
XER
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
FIG
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |