Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
1 - 2
ATH
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
2 - 2
LEV
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |