Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ALC
3 - 2
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
JFC
4 - 1
ELC
69%
16%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
SDC
36%
23%
42%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
SDC
4 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
HER
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |