Elche vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ELC
0 - 2
REU
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OSA
1 - 1
ELC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ELC
0 - 0
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 3
GRA
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
OSA
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ELC
0 - 0
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAL
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |