Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Elche vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 1
ELC
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
SEV
0 - 1
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
ELC
2 - 0
SEV
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
ELC
3 - 0
OSA
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
OSA
2 - 0
ELC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 1
ELC
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAB
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 1
SAB
55%
21%
23%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
SAB
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1967 |
GRA
3 - 2
VAL
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |