Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-9
Elche vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
GRA
8 - 1
ELC
72%
16%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CDT
0 - 3
ELC
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ELC
2 - 1
MUR
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELC
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
GRA
8 - 1
ELC
72%
16%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
OSA
2 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
GRA
0 - 3
RMA
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |