Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-1
Elche vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
ELC
2 - 1
CEL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
DEP
0 - 3
ELC
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
ELC
4 - 2
SAB
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
ELC
3 - 1
CFC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 3
PON
37%
29%
35%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
POR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 1
CEL
70%
20%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 0
RAC
21%
29%
50%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VIV
1 - 1
GRA
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |