Elche vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CCF
2 - 0
ELC
35%
24%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 0
RMA
20%
22%
59%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
VAD
2 - 2
ELC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1963 |
FCB
2 - 1
ELC
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FCB
4 - 1
ELC
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
ESP
4 - 0
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
OVI
2 - 1
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ESP
4 - 4
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
ESP
1 - 0
MLL
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
MLL
2 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |