Elche vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 2
ELC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
RSO
2 - 1
ELC
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ELC
0 - 1
RCF
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
ELC
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 2
EIB
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
EIB
0 - 1
SEV
54%
28%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 0
EIB
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
EIB
2 - 0
GIM
35%
31%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 1
EIB
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |