Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Elche vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SEV
4 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ELC
3 - 4
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
OSA
1 - 3
ELC
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
UDL
1 - 1
ELC
56%
21%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ELC
0 - 1
ATH
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 1
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 0
CCF
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 1
RAC
42%
23%
34%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
MLL
2 - 1
SFE
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |