Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-7
Elche vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
5 - 0
ELC
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
5 - 0
ELC
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
4 - 2
LEO
52%
22%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1927 |
EUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |