Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Elche vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
FCB
1 - 3
ELC
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1987 |
ELC
5 - 3
ATB
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 1
RAC
45%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ATB
0 - 1
ELC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RBU
0 - 0
ELC
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RAC
0 - 2
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
MAL
3 - 0
TER
83%
11%
5%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
MAL
5 - 0
RBU
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
TER
2 - 1
MAL
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |