Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-0
Elche vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
ELC
4 - 2
CDB
84%
11%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
CDB
0 - 1
ELC
32%
23%
45%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ELC
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ELC
5 - 0
RSO
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAL
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 0
RMA
20%
27%
54%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PON
1 - 0
MAL
60%
23%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |