Elche vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
RAY
1 - 0
ELC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
ELC
2 - 0
SAB
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 1
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
ELC
0 - 2
RMC
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1983 |
ELC
1 - 1
VAD
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 1
MLL
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
DEP
5 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
CAS
0 - 0
RAY
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAB
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |