Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Elche vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8%
5.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 2
CFC
87%
8%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
2 - 2
ELC
34%
23%
44%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CCF
5 - 0
ELC
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 1
ELC
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 2
CFC
87%
8%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
2 - 2
ELC
34%
23%
44%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 2
CFC
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
2 - 2
UDL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
RJA
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |