Elche vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 2
ELC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
5 - 1
ELC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
ELC
2 - 0
ESP
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
3 - 3
ELC
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ELC
5 - 1
SPB
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALB
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |