Elche vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAD
3 - 1
ELC
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ELC
2 - 1
RCF
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 2
ELC
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ELC
1 - 0
DEP
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MAL
3 - 2
CCF
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
POL
1 - 2
MAL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 3
SLA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 1
ALA
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CAD
4 - 0
MAL
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |