Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-2
Elche vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
ATH
1 - 2
ELC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 0
ELC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ELC
2 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
FCB
1 - 3
ELC
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
RMA
0 - 4
ATM
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ATM
3 - 0
VAD
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |