Elche vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
5 - 1
ELC
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 1
BET
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
RSO
3 - 2
ELC
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ELC
0 - 2
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
5 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 3
RMA
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |