Elche vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
OLI
4 - 3
ELC
53%
21%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
CAT
5 - 4
ELC
38%
22%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ALI
2 - 3
ELC
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ELC
3 - 1
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ELC
7 - 2
CAT
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ALI
2 - 1
CAT
70%
16%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALI
57%
20%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ALI
2 - 3
ELC
58%
19%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
CAT
3 - 2
ALI
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ALI
4 - 1
OLI
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |