Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Elche vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 0
ELC
36%
32%
32%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
ELC
2 - 0
UES
62%
24%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
ALA
1 - 0
ELC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
OSA
1 - 0
ELC
32%
32%
37%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
SEV
2 - 0
ELC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
RSO
3 - 1
ALA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
ALA
1 - 0
ELC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
ALA
4 - 0
COL
65%
22%
13%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
ALA
55%
26%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
SLA
0 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |