Elche vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
CAS
3 - 1
ELC
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 0
ELC
43%
22%
34%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ELC
2 - 0
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ALB
2 - 1
ELC
64%
18%
18%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ELC
3 - 1
CAT
62%
18%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
PUL
4 - 2
CAR
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAL
3 - 1
PUL
58%
19%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
PUL
2 - 1
ALB
76%
13%
11%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 0
PUL
57%
19%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
PUL
6 - 1
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |