Ilicitano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 1
RCF
34%
24%
41%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
ELC
2 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
RAY
1 - 3
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ELC
3 - 2
ALM
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
5 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CEU
1 - 1
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 3
VAL
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |