Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-2
Ilicitano vs Torrevieja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
ALM
1 - 2
ELC
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ELC
0 - 2
BIG
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 0
PIN
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
BIG
1 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
TOR
0 - 1
ELD
31%
30%
39%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CIU
3 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
HUE
1 - 2
TOR
32%
29%
40%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
TOR
2 - 1
AGU
66%
21%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |