Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-7
Ilicitano vs Racing D´ Algemesí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
JOV
2 - 0
ELC
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ELC
0 - 0
CFC
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
BAL
3 - 0
ELC
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
ELC
4 - 1
CDB
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CPC
4 - 0
ELC
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Racing D´ Algemesí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
RAC
2 - 1
GAN
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
BAD
5 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
RAC
1 - 2
PBL
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
ATB
2 - 0
RAC
45%
28%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
RAC
0 - 1
LEV
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |