Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-3
Ilicitano vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
GRA
3 - 0
ELC
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
MAL
2 - 1
ELC
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 1
XER
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
IMP
85%
10%
4%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
PBL
1 - 0
PAI
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
RAC
1 - 0
PBL
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
PBL
3 - 1
LEV
31%
27%
42%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +4 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TOR
0 - 3
PBL
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
PBL
2 - 2
GIR
26%
27%
47%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +2 |