Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-1
Ilicitano vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
ONT
2 - 0
ELC
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
RCF
0 - 0
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
SDS
2 - 0
ELC
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATH
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
CCF
1 - 0
OSA
71%
20%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
OSA
8 - 1
CAL
84%
10%
5%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 2
OSA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
OSA
2 - 0
VAD
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |