Ilicitano vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+149%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
ELC
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ELC
2 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ROD
0 - 2
ELC
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
ATZ
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ELC
0 - 1
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SIL
0 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 3
ELD
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JOV
2 - 3
NOV
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
ATZ
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOV
48%
27%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |