Ilicitano vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+663%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELC
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ELC
3 - 1
ALZ
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
ELC
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ELC
3 - 1
BOR
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ONT
2 - 0
ELC
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
ORI
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |