Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
Ilicitano vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 2
CIE
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELC
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ELC
2 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 3
YEC
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
CAS
1 - 0
LOR
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
2 - 2
RMC
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
REC
2 - 0
LOR
57%
27%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 2
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |