Ilicitano vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
42%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ELC
0 - 0
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
MLL
6 - 1
ELC
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ELC
6 - 1
JER
57%
21%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
PUE
2 - 0
ELC
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
CEL
0 - 2
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ALA
0 - 1
CEL
26%
30%
44%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SEV
3 - 1
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MLL
2 - 1
CEL
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |