Ilicitano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ELC
2 - 1
CRE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 1
ELC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ELC
1 - 1
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELC
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ELC
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
NOV
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |