Ilicitano vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SLA
1 - 1
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
3 - 0
SDS
91%
7%
3%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
2 - 1
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
65%
22%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 1
CAS
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
PON
2 - 5
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATH
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDO
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATH
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |