Elche U19 vs Real Murcia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
3º
33
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 47 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 44 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
80% | 11% |
|
Possible next round
|
9.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 2
ELC
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
ELC
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 0
KEL
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
ELC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 1
CDR
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALB
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
ACA
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 2
MUR
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |