Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-3
KF Elbasani vs Shkumbini Peqin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ELB
0 - 2
LAÇ
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ELB
2 - 0
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SHK
2 - 2
ELB
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VLZ
1 - 0
ELB
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ELB
0 - 2
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Shkumbini Peqin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
POG
1 - 0
SHK
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SHK
1 - 3
BYL
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SHK
2 - 2
ELB
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
POG
3 - 0
SHK
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |