San Antonio vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
7º
43
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
ESA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 0
DFC
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 1
ESA
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
ESA
10%
18%
71%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 0
AFC
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
EME
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
DEL
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
GUA
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |