San Antonio vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
7º
43
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
INJ
20%
28%
53%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
CUN
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
ESA
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
GUA
22%
28%
50%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CUN
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 3
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |