El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
5º
28
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 21 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 12 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 11 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
DPR
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SLP
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
SPB
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |