El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
5º
19
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
SLP
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
DPR
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
IND
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
IND
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
JUU
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SLP
4 - 1
IND
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |