El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
3 - 1
LIN
54%
27%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
DPR
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
3 - 1
LIN
44%
28%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
LIN
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DPR
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
IND
26%
30%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
SPB
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |