El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
LIN
71%
20%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
DPR
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 0
LIN
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
SPB
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 1
IND
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 1
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DHA
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |