El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
67
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
IND
27%
29%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
3 - 1
LIN
54%
27%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
DPR
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
3 - 1
LIN
44%
28%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
DPR
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 3
DHA
21%
28%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
SPB
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
DHA
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |